Chapter 1073 Opportunities are always rare
.In fact, the issues that concern the top and bottom of Fan's Investment Group are all about whether the five terrorist attacks in the United States will cause the US economy to plummet? If that is the case, some domestic economic policies will need to make many corresponding adjustments.
At the same time, everyone also noticed that in the previous few days, Fan Wubing happened to gather all the employees of the American company to gather, which also avoided the casualties of the company's employees in this incident. It is said that Fan Wubing is a little unpredictable opportunity, which makes the executives who are already chasing Fan and admire them even more inexplicably.
However, although Fan Wubing had already ordered all American companies to be collected, some people were still injured in the incident. He was a foreign executive of an American company. At that time, he had something to do and went to the World Trade Center to conduct a business exchange with a company that had been booked. As a result, he encountered a plane hit the building. Fortunately, the floor he was on was lower, so he escaped unscathed. By the way, he also saved several injured women and children, which was commended by the US government;
Fan Wubing didn't say much about this. Although he repeatedly emphasized that the temporary episodes must be followed, this time the incident was quite sudden and he could not say to the employees. The reason for emphasizing discipline was only because he tried to avoid casualties from his employees in the incident. It seems that the effect is OK now, at least not as heavy losses as the companies that settled in the World Trade Center office.
There are many companies that can enter the World Trade Center. There are also many powerful companies. This time, the death toll of thousands of people in the World Trade Center reached thousands of people. Most of these people are industry elites. Their deaths directly led to gaps in the operations of many companies, and even the leadership of some companies was basically wiped out?
In any case, some of the employees who were quite resistant to Fan Wubing's collection were already very grateful. Because Fan's Investment Group has a large business and a wide range of areas, especially with the financial industry, there are many people working in the World Trade Center and the floor is also very high. If Fan Wubing had not been to this move, many people would have stayed on the ruins of the World Trade Center forever.
The shocking scenes seen on the TV screen are enough to make the people involved feel frightened and deeply lucky?
The subsequent investigation was conducted on the assessment of the damage caused by Fan's Investment Group in this incident and on the policy adjustments to financial work in the United States.
The impact of the incident on the US economy will affect the world through four channels, including trade, capital flows and exchange rates, international market prices and financial market infection, affecting global economic exhibitions.
From a trade perspective, just after the incident, the United States closed all barriers and part of its borders with Mexico, temporarily interrupting trade and logistics with all countries and regions around the world, and had a great impact on exports from Canada, Mexico and other countries that rely heavily on the US market?
The United States has always occupied the most important position in the international market, with its imports accounting for about 25% of global trade. In the U.S. economy has declined, its imports will inevitably shrink, which will affect the development of global trade, but the impact on various regions is not consistent.
North America, Japan, Latin America, and Southeast Asian countries were greatly affected. Japan's total exports to the United States are one-third of its total exports. Latin America and Southeast Asia's economy relies heavily on exports to the United States, especially more than half of electronic products are exported to the United States. According to Goldman Sachs' estimate, "In what year, half of the economic growth in Southeast Asia's Southeast Asian economy comes from the pull of exports to the United States. The EU's trade with the United States accounts for about 8 of its total trade volume, which is more affected than Japan, Latin America, and Southeast Asian countries.
From the perspective of capital flows and exchange rates, the event will affect the exchange rate adjustment of major currencies, the flow of funds will change, and international capital will flow to countries and regions with relatively fast economic development, social stability, and relatively moderate foreign policies such as Europe.
Currently, the dollar has depreciated from the euro against the dollar to around the euro against the dollar. The Fed's statement acknowledged that the economic data released by the United States in recent weeks has been disappointing, oil prices have been high, consumer confidence indexes have fallen to nine-year lows, employment has been falling, and more than 300,000 jobs have been lost in February alone, and retail has also declined.
From the perspective of the financial market, stock markets in countries around the world are now fluctuating with the fluctuations of Wall Street, and hedge funds may also take the opportunity to make trouble.
The US stock market fell, and the stock markets in other countries were also difficult to improve. Tokyo stock market fell, London fell strong, Paris fell. Old name, Frankfurt fell 3, the most affected airline "The stock price of airlines fell more, British Airways, Lufthansa and Air France fell more than %?
On the day after the opening of the US stock market, major stock markets in the world outside the United States rebounded, and the stock prices of European stock markets rose by about 3%. There were fluctuations in the following days, indicating that people continue to wait and see the US stock market.
Judging from the prices of international strategic commodities, after the small incident, the prices of oil, gold, non-ferrous metals and other commodities rose rapidly. On that day, London Brent crude oil futures rose to USD per barrel, up 32 USD, reaching the highest level since December last year. This terrorist incident did not affect global crude oil supply, and the rise in oil prices was entirely caused by unclear terrorist attacks and psychological panic. The history of the world economic development shows that oil prices are closely related to world economic growth, and every large-scale economic recession is related to rising oil prices.
The economies of countries around the world are mutually dependent and influence each other. Due to the United States' hegemony in the world economy, countries around the world are not immune to the slowdown of the US economy. When the US economy is prosperous, the world economy is easier to develop. If the US economy recession, it will also drag down the economies of other countries in the world.
Due to China's high dependence on US exports, the US economy has entered a recession, especially the decline in US consumption levels, and the demand for imported goods has decreased accordingly, which will curb China's export growth from the perspective of foreign demand. The impact of the incident on the economies of various countries is different. North America, South America, Japan, East Asia will be greatly affected, and the impact on Europe, South Asia and other countries will be relatively relatively high.
However, this time is different from the past, Fan Wubing did not take this opportunity to make a fortune in the US stock market and external stock markets. On the contrary, in recent days, he has been expressing the importance of stabilizing the financial market in various public or non-public occasions, and expressed dissatisfaction with the international hedge funds that took advantage of the situation.
"Can the boss change his sex?" The most curious person is naturally the people in charge of Fan Wubing's financial institutions.
In many previous stock market ups and downs, Fan Wuer grasped the pulse and realized the sprint of the stock market with ease. This time, Fan Wubing also made some preparations in advance, such as reducing recent financial activities, selling some unstable assets, etc., and also arranged for the employees of financial institutions in the United States to avoid accidents. In theory, he could take this opportunity to make a big profit?
However, Mr. Fan did not take action. This is really strange.
Fan Wubing naturally had his own ideas about this.
After all, after the incident of the attack on the United States, the US government will conduct strict reviews of foreign investors and foreign capital for a long period of time. Under such circumstances, Fan Wubing plans to gradually withdraw from investment in the United States within this year and complete strategic contraction. In addition to continuing to maintain a certain voice in some very important industries, most of the personnel will be dispersed to financial institutions in other countries in the world to complete the global strategic layout of Fan's Investment Group.
Another point is that domestic exhibitions are about to get on track. Fan Wubing thinks that it is time to go back to China to show off his skills. Therefore, in addition to some stable financial or mineral investments, in addition to assets that should be hidden in large foreign banks, in addition to real estate investment projects in hot spots in various countries, some other assets can already be transferred to China.
The most important thing is that after three years of state-owned enterprises have basically achieved the predetermined goals, the country needs new growth points to promote the development of the entire economy. My father Fan Heng has also told Fan Wubing many times that we must vigorously promote the modernization process in China, especially strengthen the development of enterprises in the central and western regions. Fan Wubing believes that he has the responsibility to do this.
On the third day after the incident, the father Fan Yu, who returned home, had an in-depth discussion with his son on the matter.
"Since recent times, the domestic policy towards the United States has been relatively positive. Although Bush's coming to power seems to be unfavorable to China, and before he was elected, he seemed to be fearless and fearless, if he studied this person, he would often come to a conclusion that this person is more humane." Fan Wubing said to his father Fan Heng. "To be honest, although many domestic media have a high evaluation of Clinton, it is exactly this) Clinton is our enemy. During his tenure, he caused us some trouble."
"Then how do you think Americans will deal with this terrorist attack?" Fan Heng asked back.
"Since Bush plays the role of a cowboy hero, then next, only war can allow him to continue playing this role." Fan Wubing replied.
"War? Who to fight?" Fan Heng asked.
"Of course it's Afghanistan, this place where Americans and Russians have been entangled, and it is also the base camp of the **. The Taliban organization actually has a very close relationship with the **. The Americans will never miss this opportunity this time. Uncle Sam, who was annoyed, is quite terrible." Fan Wubing replied without thinking.
Fan Heng frowned when he heard this and thought about this matter carefully.
In many people, although Americans are warlike, they always fight for their own interests. Otherwise, they would have maintained their capital in the early stages of World War II. However, after being beaten by the Japanese in Pearl Harbor, they made up their minds and finally joined the war.
This terrorist attack has been described as the second Pearl Harbor incident, so everyone is speculating about where the anger of Americans will tend to be? They do need to find an emotional outlet, but for a terrorist organization that has no fixed nest and wanders around every corner of the world, where should we start?
Fan Wubing gave a very clear direction in Afghanistan.
For Afghanistan, in fact, domestic senior officials have long disliked them. You should know that because it is a gathering place for extremists of Islamic fundamentalism, it has always been a troublemaker. Members of more active terrorist organizations in China are basically trained there.
In front of you, these people have indeed caused a lot of trouble, which has caused a lot of headaches from the domestic government.
These people sneaked back to create some terrifying events, and then immediately escaped back to Afghanistan to accumulate energy. They couldn't beat them, and they couldn't catch them, which was very annoying.
This time, ** created a terrorist attack. In fact, the top leaders are still happy to see Americans deal with Afghanistan. After all, this small country with poverty addiction has become an instability factor in political activities in Northwest Asia. If it weren't for the peace strategy pursued by China that could not be changed, someone would have beaten it long ago?
"Counter-terrorism is a double-edged evil. Many things that were difficult to solve in the past can now be completely solved before the name of counter-terrorism?" Fan Wubing reminded his father Fan Heng.
Fan Heng thought for a moment and immediately felt that the leader would meet.
In the past, Americans always had to make trouble in the face of some extreme events in China, such as on the Tibet or Xinjiang issue, or on the Chechnya issue in Russia, Americans always like to interfere and attack in the name of human rights.
But this time, if the Americans attacked terrorism and fought against Afghanistan, everyone can follow suit in the future. If the Americans can fight terrorism, then we can naturally fight terrorism. As long as we put a terrorist hat on our opponents, whether to fight or kill, it will be a great thing. No one can say anything wrong.
And there is another point. Even if the Americans really attack Afghanistan this time, they need to obtain the acquiescence of China and Russia to launch military operations. If they want to do this, it is impossible not to communicate privately. In this way, many issues that could not be discussed before can be discussed now.
For example, the issue of joining the...increase, the sovereignty issues in certain regions, and the so-called human rights issues that Americans have been lying on before, these issues can be better solved.
"In short, this is a good opportunity, which not only shows support for the United States' counter-terrorism, but also solves many historical problems. Why not do it?" Fan Wubing concluded at the end.
Chapter completed!