Chapter 423 Expectation
It was a hurry to come and go, and Chen Qiaoshan's trip to Hong Kong ended in a hurry.
The plane arrived at Yanjing Airport. Yan Xiaoqin had been waiting for a long time. When she saw Chen Qiaoshan pushing her luggage out of the gate, she waved her hand excitedly.
Yan Xiaoqin obviously dressed up today, wearing light makeup, her already delicate face looked even more charming and charming. She was wearing a national style embroidered plain mid-sleeved shirt and a chiffon A-line skirt. She dressed easily and freely, highlighting her elegant and charming figure.
Chen Qiaoshan felt his eyes lit up, and he had only been away for a few days. He felt a little missed in his heart, especially in this passionate season, and he couldn't help but feel ready to move.
Seeing him coming, Yan Xiaoqin smiled like a flower and subconsciously wanted to take the luggage cart in his hand. However, Chen Qiaoshan hugged her charming body regardless of the slightest bitch and kissed her on the face.
The intimate behavior of young men and women was very conspicuous, and the two really attracted a lot of attention.
Yan Xiaoqin was so ashamed that her face turned red. She quickly broke free from Chen Qiaoshan's arms, gave him a blank look, and said angrily: "You're going to die, so many people!"
Although it was just a brief touch, Chen Qiaoshan felt a bit lustful and lustful in the summer. He smiled and said, "What are we doing? Let them see."
Yan Xiaoqin also had no choice but to glar at him helplessly and urged: "Go away quickly, don't embarrass you here."
Chen Qiaoshan didn't care much about himself. He had plenty of opportunities to wait, and there was no need to rush for a moment. He pushed his luggage out of the airport with a smile.
After getting in the car, he saw Yan Xiaoqin turning the steering wheel on the airport expressway as if he was looking at him, Chen Qiaoshan smiled and said, "I haven't seen him for a few days, and his technology has improved."
Yan Xiaoqin glanced at him and said proudly: "You think it's not such a difficult thing. It's like you, you don't even have a driver's license. Do you want to drive without a license?"
Chen Qiaoshan was speechless. He wanted to take a driver's license, but he never had the opportunity. He thought to himself that it would not be a problem to continue like this. He might find a driving school to think of a solution when he turned around.
"How is it in Hong Kong this time?" Yan Xiaoqin asked again. Unfortunately, as soon as he finished speaking, Chen Qiaoshan's cell phone rang.
Yan Xiaoqin asked, "Who did you come here as soon as you got off the plane?"
He picked it up and saw that it was a Hong Kong number. Chen Qiaoshan was also a little surprised. He had just left, and who had found it so soon.
"I don't know, the Hong Kong number," Chen Qiaoshan explained, then pressed the answer button, "Hey?"
"Mr. Chen, it's me. You have arrived in Yanjing, right?"
"Eliot?" Chen Qiaoshan was stunned, "I just got off the plane."
By the way, the two of them had just met before boarding the plane. It had only been a long time since they came again. He couldn't help but ask, "What's wrong? Is there something wrong?"
Elliot said in a relaxed manner: "Mr. Chen, something happened temporarily. I think it is necessary to communicate with you again."
"You said." Chen Qiaoshan knew something was wrong. The phone call was obviously called by pointing it. He was also a little curious about what happened.
Elliot said: "Just two hours ago, the rotating chairman of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and Indonesian Oil Minister Purno announced that in order to stabilize oil prices, OPEC is preparing to increase crude oil production by 1 million to 1.5 million barrels per day, which is about 3% to 5% of global crude oil production capacity."
Chen Qiaoshan understands what this means. OPEC increases production, which is a cold water for the international crude oil futures market.
As a commodity, crude oil is not only a commodity, but also has its own financial attributes. In addition to basic supply and demand, inventory impact, as well as capital and geopolitical struggles, the key factor in predicting crude oil prices is OPEC's policy trend.
Chen Qiaoshan knew very well that once OPEC increased its production, international crude oil prices would definitely plummet, which was obviously inconsistent with what I remember.
He clearly remembers that the Singapore Branch of China AVIC Oil eventually went bankrupt because of the surge in oil prices.
Chen Qiaoshan confirmed: "Eliot, is the news reliable?"
"It's true that Bloomberg and Reuters both released the news as soon as possible."
In order to increase persuasion, Elliot emphasized: "Today's New York futures market, the price of crude oil futures plummeted by $1.48 in September in the morning, a drop of up to 4.2%.
Chen Qiaoshan felt his teeth sore. I wonder how many people would lose money because of this news. He was a little lucky that he did not rely on his memory to do crude oil futures, otherwise this order would be enough for him to drink a pot.
"Chan, even if oil prices plummet, the current world crude oil prices are still at a high point in the past two decades, and the possibility of rising is slim. You should know that high oil prices may not be in the interests of oil-producing countries..."
Chen Qiaoshan is now barely considered a financial person. Of course, he knows that high oil prices may not be a good thing for countries that rely heavily on oil exports, especially when the global economy is in a downturn.
The higher the crude oil price, although profits increase, correspondingly, in the case of insufficient demand, high oil prices significantly increase the remaining productivity of oil-producing countries.
At the same time, long-term high oil prices will prompt non-OPEC members to exploit shale oil, deep-sea oil and oil sands, and accelerate the research and development of alternative clean energy, which are all problems.
Chen Qiaoshan was very confused. This was not good news. Now there was insufficient demand, and OPEC increased production and the price decline was certain.
Chen Qiaoshan was a little hesitant. He really couldn't understand why international oil prices suddenly soared in the next month with global production increases, and even reached a historical high of $55 at one point.
"Chan, unless a war breaks out between Saudi Arabia and Iran, crude oil prices will not be able to soar. It is a very unwise investment behavior to buy call options now."
Chen Qiaoshan cursed in his heart. Could it be that a more reliable example? Although Iran and Saudi Arabia have been a feud for thousands of years, they have never really taken action. They are still very happy to fight.
Seeing that Chen Qiaoshan didn't say anything, Elliot had long expected that investment was for profit, and no one was willing to invest money in projects that would definitely lose money.
Today's international crude oil prices are at historical highs, and even OPEC is ready to intervene. At this time, buying a large number of call options is tantamount to being unable to get along with money.
"Chan, the crude oil futures market is too risky, I can prepare a more reasonable investment portfolio for you..."
Elliot has first-class professionalism and great eloquence. In the blink of an eye, he has successively launched various venture capital packages.
Chen Qiaoshan was also amused and crying. He didn't say anything, so he started to fool him.
He discovered that in essence, there is no difference between private financial consultants and those who promote financial products in China, and they are all for greater interests.
"Eliot, I think you're wrong. I didn't give up on investing in crude oil options."
Chen Qiaoshan's words almost made Elliott vomit blood in anger. Why didn't he listen to the advice? After talking for a long time, there was no effect at all.
"Chen, you have to know that as a full-time financial consultant, I need to be responsible for your investment." Elliot really couldn't figure out why Chen Qiaoshan still insisted in the face of such an obvious general trend.
The capital market is the most cruel, but people who are too gamblers usually have bad endings, and it is not uncommon for financiers who jump from the Peninsula hotel because of the failure of betting.
"Eliot, facing major negative factors, several guarantee banks are definitely eager to sell non-performing assets. I think Mitsui Bank should be willing to provide greater bargaining space, right?"
Chen Qiaoshan ignored Elliot's persuasion. Although he didn't know what was going on, he still had basic judgments.
He believes that history will not change because of his participation, especially for commodities such as crude oil, he still has this confidence.
And this is still a good opportunity. Just as the credit rating is lowered, it will increase financing costs. Oil prices are bearish, and losses have become inevitable for banks participating in crude oil call options betting.
Goldman Sachs can take advantage of the fire and buy CDS at a low price, betting that the EU will not leave Greece alone.
Chen Qiaoshan can naturally follow suit. Although he doesn't know the specific reason, with the news of China AVIC Oil's bankruptcy, he is sure that oil prices will inevitably rebound sharply.
Although the market is pessimistic, this risk is still worth taking.
Chen Qiaoshan thought in his mind that compared to the losses of the failed bet, the gains would be astronomical. Perhaps based on this order alone, he might become famous in one battle.
"Okay, Chen, I will talk to Mitsui Bank." Elliot gave up his plan to continue persuasion. What he is now considering is how to explain the transaction in his analysis report once the debt is deficit.
When he hung up the phone, Yan Xiaoqin asked curiously: "Are you talking about oil futures?"
"Oil options are a type of financial derivatives." Seeing her asking, Chen Qiaoshan talked about the mortgage of Kangsheng's equity.
"What, two million US dollars?" Yan Xiaoqin was very surprised. "If oil prices continue to fall, wouldn't this money be wasted?"
Chen Qiaoshan nodded, "It's like this when it falls, but it's ten times or twenty times the gain."
Yan Xiaoqin was startled, "So much?"
Chen Qiaoshan smiled and said, "Option trading itself comes with leverage. No one can calculate the exact returns until the last moment. I still have a conservative estimate."
"Of course, the greater the profit, the higher the risk. As long as you enter the market, there are only two possible contract orders. One is to make huge profits and the other is to turn into waste paper. This does not require much fluctuation. Sometimes, even if the subject matter only has a rise or fall of one cent, the contract may become a piece of white paper."
Yan Xiaoqin was a little confused, "Since there is such a big risk, why did you choose to make options? Even crude oil futures are safer than this, right?"
Chen Qiaoshan naturally cannot say that he knows the future market. Compared with futures, trading options is basically equivalent to picking up money. After thinking about it, he said: "Options bet on judging market trends, and futures also depend on trading ability. Just like now, if I entered the market for two million dollars yesterday, I would probably have the intention to jump off the building now."
"Besides, you don't have to worry about being urged to pay the deposit when doing options. There is a possibility of a turnaround at any time until the last moment."
Yan Xiaoqin was also very worried. She had seen Chen Qiaoshan's stock trading, and the stock price fluctuated. He was also anxious. With such a high risk, she couldn't help but feel a little worried.
Chen Qiaoshan also secretly alerted that the risk of commodity trading is too great.
Especially for high-leverage things like crude oil futures, we must guard against unknown risks at any time. Even if Laden was shot dead by American soldiers, oil prices could plummet, and this fundamentals are not something that anyone can analyze.
"Where are we going?" As soon as we entered the East Fourth Ring Road, Yan Xiaoqin got off the airport expressway and boarded the auxiliary road from Siyuan Bridge.
Yan Xiaoqin said: "Sun Guangming heard that you were back today, so he said he would treat us to a meal."
Chen Qiaoshan couldn't help but feel angry, "This Fatty Sun, what's the trouble?"
Yan Xiaoqin smiled and said, "Didn't you complain that even chili peppers in Hong Kong are sweet? He invited us to Sichuan cuisine today, which is not exactly what you like?"
"Don't pay attention to him. This kid has no wink at all, and it will cause trouble. Hasn't the house been sorted out? Let's go home and eat."
"He has booked a seat, isn't it good to put pigeons?" Yan Xiaoqin was very surprised. "There hasn't been fired yet, and there is nothing to prepare. What should I eat when I go back?"
Chen Qiaoshan said humbly: "Of course I'm eating you!"
Yan Xiaoqin's hand shook, and MINI immediately left an S-shaped shape, which scared Chen Qiaoshan so much that he quickly tied the seat belt. He was also very guilty, don't lose your life before it was eaten.
Yan Xiaoqin was also shocked. Fortunately, there were no cars on the road at this moment, so she was just a false alarm. She couldn't help but look at the initiator shyly and angry.
Looking at her angry and happy expression, Chen Qiaoshan's bones suddenly became a little lighter.
A faintly, Yan Xiaoqin's youthful and beautiful face had a little more charming meaning. He couldn't help but admire Xiao Wu's foresight, and he was indeed Yan's fairy.
Chapter completed!