Early in the morning on May 17, before dawn, a large number of media reporters gathered outside the Xiaguo Meteorological Center, and many staff members entering the meteorological building were stopped by reporters for interview.

There is only one topic for the reporters’ interview - "Do you think El Niño will appear at noon today?"

The emergence of a global climate phenomenon will definitely not pop out of nothing at a certain moment, but there will be certain signs and clues early on.

As the largest meteorological monitoring center in Xiaguo, the Xiaguo Meteorological Center and the most authoritative meteorological release department, the Xiaguo Meteorological Center naturally became the first choice for the media to obtain first-hand news.

However, people from Xiaguo Meteorological Center seemed to have made an appointment in advance. Everyone kept silent when facing reporters' questions, and most of them just replied in a unified manner: "We don't know the latest situation, please refer to the official news released by our Meteorological Center website."

Some experts and professors also supported Qin Ke's attitude: "We believe that Academician Qin's release of research results must have sufficient evidence, so let's wait and see." But he did not dare to agree with Qin Ke's predictions and would definitely come true.

The reporters were quite helpless about this. In fact, they also knew that whether the El Niño phenomenon would occur at noon on May 17 has become the focus of attention of people across the country and even the world. Who dares to speak casually?

It’s okay if you make the mistake, but if you say it wrong, will you be sprayed into a sieve?

Meteorological forecasts are ever-changing. Unless there is clear evidence to confirm that El Niño has officially occurred, any plausible signs may be reversed.

What's more, this is also related to Qin Ke and Ning Qingyun, two young academicians who have a high reputation among the people, have the idea that it is better to have less than more things, so they are naturally unwilling to speak up.

However, this news has attracted too much attention. Any news title related to it has increased in number, and no media wants to miss such huge traffic. Since the Xia Kingdom's most authoritative Xia Kingdom Meteorological Center does not express any prior views, the media will try their best to invite industry experts to live broadcast and analyze it.

Jinling TV in Suzhou Province invited Zeng Yixiang, a famous professor at the School of Atmospheric Sciences at Nanjing University, to visit the live broadcast room of "Focus News Interview". The content of the dialogue is naturally the most explosive topic at present - the El Niño phenomenon.

This is an interview program that is broadcast live on TV and the Internet at the same time. In front of the camera, the female host showed her professional smile and said:

"Today we have the honor to invite Professor Zeng Yixiang, a famous meteorological expert in the city, to explain the scientific knowledge of El Niño to us. Professor Zeng Yixiang is a doctoral supervisor of meteorology at Nanjing University and a special consultant of our meteorological center. He has been engaged in El Niño research for more than 25 years and is a top expert in my country in this field. Now, please welcome Professor Zeng Yixiang! Everyone applauds and welcomes you!"

Jinling Satellite TV is still quite famous in China. This show attracted a large number of viewers. The number of people in the online live broadcast room has been rising steadily, and soon exceeded 1 million.

The female host was secretly happy about this popularity. She smiled and said to Professor Zeng Yixiang: "Next, please start to teach us what El Nino is. I believe that the audience does not know much about this concept."

Professor Zeng Yixiang is about fifty years old, has a fat figure and a round face. He smiles very friendly. He laughs:

"The so-called El Niño phenomenon, also known as El Niño current, is a global climate phenomenon caused by the loss of balance after the interaction between the ocean and the environment in the equatorial zone of the Pacific Ocean. It is also the result of the eastward migration of the Walker circulation. In the past years, the El Niño phenomenon has brought about severe rainstorms and flooded rivers, causing serious economic losses in the coastal areas, and also leading to abnormal tropicalization of the ocean, greatly destroying the ecological balance..."

After he kept talking, he could talk for more than ten minutes. The female host hurriedly found an opportunity and interrupted with a smile: "Professor Zeng, there is a lot of controversy on the Internet about whether the El Niño phenomenon will bring rain, floods, floods, or high temperatures and droughts. What do you think about this?"

"Theoretically, the El Niño phenomenon does bring about climate change. For example, floods may occur in areas with drought and less rainy areas, and droughts may occur in areas with rainy areas. The online statements are possible..."

Seeing that Professor Zeng was extremely slick and refused to give an accurate answer, the host was a little anxious. Who would like to hear this from the audience?

At this time, many viewers have already started negative comments in the comment section of the live broadcast room:

[Some nonsense, don’t you even dare to make a clear point of view?]

[After talking for a long time, there is no real information at all. I can find these contents. I still need to listen to him?]

【It's dispersed, it's boring.】

The host gritted his teeth and asked directly: "Professor Zeng, do you think it is possible that most countries in the northern hemisphere will experience continuous high temperature and drought?"

"From the past data records, this situation has never happened. It is mainly due to different disasters in different countries, including droughts and floods. But this possibility cannot be completely denied. After all, climate change occurs and any situation may occur. At present, my country still has a lot of room for improvement in meteorological prediction. Maybe there are some special factors that will happen. Just like the current typhoon prediction, it is clearly predicted that its route is along the southeast direction, but it may suddenly turn and turn to the northeast direction in half an hour, and the specific cause is still unknown..."

Professor Zeng Yixiang said that he would not reply positively anyway and would not give any clear conclusions.

He is not stupid, so it would be fine to give some appearance fees to talk about popular science. If he really wants to directly agree or oppose the view of a famous academician, he would jump into the fire pit himself.

From a rational and professional perspective, Zeng Yixiang did not agree with Qin Ke's prediction, but Qin Ke had created too many miracles in the past, which made Zeng Yixiang dare not 100% sure that Qin Ke's prediction was wrong - even if it was finally confirmed that Qin Ke's prediction was really wrong, wouldn't he publicly objected in front of so many audiences be equivalent to slapping this promising young academician in the face? What benefits can he get from doing this?

Stepping on Qin Ke's reputation and becoming the top? He did not have such a luxury. The "Hurricane Operation" some time ago is still there, and Qian Hongbin and He Fuyuan are the lessons of the past!

He didn't feel that his body was clean enough to just take a slight investigation team.

Moreover, this time, the live broadcast room was visited by the school leaders repeatedly invited by the TV station, so he was sent as a representative to participate. He also hinted in advance that he should pay attention to the content of his speech. Zeng Yixiang naturally decisively chose the words "stable and scrupulous" to answer.

The sarcasm in the comments section never stopped for his remarks.

[Ha, these are domestic experts. There are only a very small number of people who dare to speak out and disclose their research results after all.]

[Look at the faces of domestic experts. What is the difference between what Professor Zeng said and the daily views of those stock review experts? - The stock market may fall today, but it is not ruled out that it will rise under the stimulation of special news... Isn't this all nonsense!]

The host saw the number of online audiences falling sharply, and his forehead was so anxious that he was sweating. Fortunately, at this moment, she saw the director playing a gesture and lit up a sign.

The host's eyes lit up and immediately read the content on the prompt board: "Professor Zeng, Professor Marquis of the American Meteorological Center is now conducting a global live broadcast. Can you comment on his opinion?" After saying that, before Zeng Yixiang answered, he signaled his assistant to switch to the screen on the large screen.

Zeng Yixiang looked up and saw that the large screen opposite had switched to an all-English online live broadcast room interface. A white male reporter was chatting with a brown-haired white old man, and there were also Chinese subtitles that were automatically translated synchronously below.

Professor Marquis?

Zeng Yixiang has also heard of this name. This is a celebrity in the American meteorological community and an academician of the American Academy of Sciences. He has published papers in "Science" and "Nature" many times.

I heard Professor Marquis shook his head and said, "It is basically impossible for El Niño to occur on May 17th! Qin Ke's prediction in Xia Kingdom can basically be considered wrong."

Zeng Yixiang smacked his tongue. This old white man dared to say it, but when he thought that the Americans didn't care about Qin Ke, what would you dare not say?

The white male reporter looked surprised: "Professor Marquis, are you so unfavorable to Academician Qin Ke's predictions in Xia Guo?"

Professor Marquis pointed to his watch and laughed: "Now, in the early morning of May 17, that is, at noon on May 17, Xia Guo time, there is only about half an hour left. Do you think the El Niño phenomenon suddenly occurred? Such a large-scale climate phenomenon must have sufficient conditions for its occurrence."

Professor Marquis talked freely: "The formation of El Niño requires four main processes, first, the rise of global temperature, then the strengthening of the spring westerly belt, followed by the eastward movement of the Walker circulation regression point, and finally the Andes blocked the return Walker circulation. The first two are global and the latter two are regional. The key to the formation of El Niño is the change of Walker circulation..."

Professor Marquis concisely explained the relationship between Walker circulation, atmospheric circulation, atmospheric energy revenue and El Niño, and continued: "Now, these four processes have indeed shown clues, especially in recent years, global temperatures have been rising, and the strengthening of the westerly belt this spring is also obvious, but the key global atmospheric energy balance has not been broken, the height of Walker circulation has not exceeded the Andes, and it does not have the conditions to continue to advance eastward across the Andes! In other words, the third and fourth processes have not fully appeared!"

The white male reporter asked: "You mean, you don't have the conditions for El Niño at present?"

"Yes, my views are analyzed based on the latest meteorological data. If you look at this meteorological map, it will be very clear... Oh, you may not understand it very much." Professor Marquis waved his hand:

"Anyway, my conclusion is that I agree with part of Academician Qin Ke's viewpoint - that is, El Niño will appear this year - but I think the appearance of El Niño will never be in the next ten days and a half months. The bigger possibility is that at the end of June and early July. Academician Qin Ke's prediction of the El Niño phenomenon on May 17 can basically be judged to be wrong."

The sound of the live broadcast screen from the United States has been reduced. The female host of Jinling TV saw that the number of people in her live broadcast room began to rise rapidly again, and the number of comments also appeared densely, with some scolding, some suspicious and some supporting ones. In short, the popularity has surged again!

The female host breathed a sigh of relief and asked Professor Zeng Yixiang with curiosity: "Professor Zeng, what do you think of Professor Marquis's views and judgment?"

Zeng Yixiang agreed with Professor Marquis' judgment in his heart, but he did not dare to say it directly, but said in a tactful way: "What Professor Marquis said is in line with the mainstream El Niño theory today, and the argument is also derived from the latest meteorological data. I also learned from the city meteorological center yesterday that there was no sign of El Niño phenomenon, that is, the disappearance of the cold water area in the sea south of the Eastern Pacific Equator, the disappearance of the southeast trade winds in the Pacific Equator region, and the spread of hot water in the western Pacific Equator region to the east, etc., have not yet been seen..."

The female host asked: "It's already 11:42 now, and it's noon coming soon. Do you think it's unlikely that El Niño will appear at noon today?"

Zeng Yixiang looked at the clock hanging. It was almost impossible for a miracle to happen. The pressure of his speech was reduced by half. He nodded and said, "Indeed, the possibility of El Niño at noon today is very small, but special circumstances are not ruled out."

"What is the special situation?"

"Unless... there are other factors that affect the occurrence of El Niño, which our current theory does not know. The formation of El Niño itself is a coincidence of many factors in nature. We only know that some of these factors will form El Niño, but we are not sure if there are other special circumstances that will also lead to the occurrence of El Niño."

The female host asked immediately: "What if such an extremely low probability event really occurs?"

Zeng Yixiang's words "Impossible" have come to his mouth, but he still swallowed them back. He just said that just to protect the situation and did not dare to say all the words.

The El Niño phenomenon began to be studied by scientists in the 1600s. It has a history of more than 400 years and its theory has been very perfect. How could there be any "special situation"?

Zeng Yixiang thought about it and said: "If such a miracle really occurs, I can only say that Academician Qin and Academician Ning who made this prediction must be far ahead of the world in El Niño..."

"Thank you very much for Professor Zeng." Seeing that the popularity of the comment area continued to increase and the number of people online increased, the host increased the live broadcast voice in the United States, intending to continue to let Zeng Yixiang comment.

At this time, in the live broadcast room of the United States, a white male reporter was discussing with Professor Marquis about what abnormal weather would bring to the northern hemisphere after the appearance of El Niño in July. Professor Marquis still clearly stated that the biggest possibility is that like in previous years, some areas will be dominated by floods, such as Xia Country, and some areas will experience heat and drought, such as northern America, some areas of the Eagle Country, etc.

"So, I think another prediction made by Academician Qin Ke of Xia is also wrong. The possibility of most countries in the northern hemisphere ushering in a high temperature and drought summer is almost 0!" Professor Marquis made the final decision.

Zeng Yixiang heard it seriously. At this moment, the female host next to him whispered: "It's 12:05 now, it's already noon."

She quickly refreshed the website of Xiaguo Meteorological Center and saw that no new news was announced.

Does this mean that the dust has settled? Academician Qin’s prediction event is finally finalized?

At this time, the comment section of the live broadcast room was in full swing, especially on the scarf, #Academician Qin’s prediction was wrong# has jumped to the top of the hot search list.

The female host calmed down her emotions and kept smiling and asked Zeng Yixiang: "Professor Zeng, is this prediction incident considered a result?"

Zeng Yixiang couldn't help but smile relaxed: "Although 'noon' is not a time node but a time period, even if 11:00-13:00 is considered noon, there is no sign of El Niño so far. It basically shows that at least it is impossible for El Niño to appear today..."

Now that things have come to this point, Qin Ke has basically no chance of turning the tables, and Zeng Yixiang has become more bold in his speech.

At this moment, his cell phone suddenly rang.

After looking at the caller ID, Zeng Yixiang said: "It was a call from the Jinling Meteorological Center, I'll answer the call."

The female host smiled and made a gesture of asking for help.

Zeng Yixiang had made an appointment with the Jinling Meteorological Center before. If the El Niño phenomenon did not occur, he would call him at noon to inform him. At this time, he answered the phone with a relaxed expression, but soon his eyes became wider and wider, and his expression seemed to have seen a ghost:

"What? You said that meteorological satellites show that the cold water zone in the sea south of the Eastern Pacific equator begins to disappear, and signs of abnormal warming of the seawater in the eastern and central Pacific near the equator? This is a sign of El Niño... How is this possible-!"

He stood there in a daze, and even the female host called him several times without hearing it.

Twenty-three minutes later, the Xiaguo Meteorological Center and the meteorological centers of major countries in the world issued an announcement almost at the same time:

"At 12:28 noon on May 17th, Xia Guo time, the El Niño phenomenon appeared!"
Chapter completed!