The so-called El Niño phenomenon is an abnormal warming phenomenon that occurs in the surface water of the equatorial central and eastern Pacific Ocean.

According to the international standard for El Niño determination, when the three-month moving average sea surface temperature in the key sea temperature monitoring area reaches or exceeds 0.5°C of the climate average, the El Niño state can be declared.

Although El Niño is a regional phenomenon that occurs in the equatorial central and eastern Pacific, its impact will spread throughout the world through the interaction between the ocean and the atmosphere. El Niño phenomena often bring extreme weather disasters such as high temperatures, droughts, and heavy rains.

The strength of the El Niño phenomenon is divided according to the index, specifically divided into five levels: 0≤ONI≤0.5 normal, 0.6≤ONI≤0.9 weak, 1≤ONI≤1.4 moderate, 1.5≤ONI≤1.9 strong, and 2≤ONI very strong.

, 1.95 is considered a "strong El Niño index", and the disasters caused will be relatively serious.

The 31% probability of occurrence deduced is indeed very high, especially when the probability of occurrence was only 26% when deduced last month!

This means that as time goes by, the probability of a severe El Niño phenomenon is getting higher and higher!

It is very likely that by April, this probability will increase to more than 50%!

The most troublesome thing is that the La Niña phenomenon that accompanies the El Niño phenomenon is not a fuel-efficient lamp.

Although the El Niño phenomenon has inconsistent impacts on different regions and different crops, the usual impact on Xia Guo is mainly concentrated in large-scale rainfall and floods, high temperatures and droughts, etc., but Qin Ke judged that the superposition of the greenhouse effect, La Niña

Due to factors such as phenomena and current global climate variability, the El Niño phenomenon will appear for a long time, and the disasters it brings are mainly concentrated on high temperatures and droughts.

Qin Ke took a deep breath, took the research report submitted by Kuang Songlin and read it in detail.

Although Qin Ke is still confident in the level of Kuang Songlin's team, and Qin Ke himself has made many suggestions for the prediction model they are using, this report is of great importance and may affect Xia Guo's future decisions. Qin Ke still

It took another half a day to review and conduct secondary deductions on the entire prediction model and related data analysis.

Qin Ke finally signed the report, handed it to Kuang Songlin, and said warmly: "Dr. Kuang, you and your team did a great job. I have watched the entire deduction process. It is very good. There are no problems. You have made great progress."

It’s very big. Once this report is signed by Academician Jiang and Academician Guo, please submit it according to the procedures. I hope you will maintain this momentum and continue to study it in depth.”

Given Qin Ke's status at this time, such praise is more precious than money and makes people feel honored. At least Kuang Songlin feels a little lighter all over. Moreover, this recognition is not something Qin Ke said casually, but after

The conclusion he reached after careful review gave him a full sense of accomplishment.

Kuang Songlin said excitedly: "Academician Qin, don't worry, our team will continue to go all out to do our best and not let you down!"

He only paid attention to the El Niño phenomenon itself, knowing that it would cause major climate disasters, but he was not really too worried. After all, similar floods and droughts had not happened before, so Kuang Songlin left Qin Ke's office with a smile.

After Kuang Songlin left, the smile on Qin Ke's face faded.

The fact that he remained calm and composed in front of Kuangsonglin did not mean that he did not understand the seriousness of the situation. On the contrary, it was precisely because he was aware of the seriousness of future climate change that he wanted to keep the team's strong fighting spirit and confidence.

——This year's El Niño phenomenon is just the beginning. El Niño phenomena will become more frequent and severe in the future. Temperatures will further rise in most parts of the world. In the next five years, there is a high probability of record extreme high temperatures, and the loss of freshwater resources.

The importance will become more and more prominent, and the fresh water crisis will even be more serious than the food crisis.

These are the conclusions he drew based on the results of the project "Analysis of the causes of extreme and abnormal weather across the country and future deductions".

It seems that a world-level climate catastrophe is difficult to avoid until the exact cause is found. It is necessary to prepare Xia and the whole world as much as possible to enhance the ability to adapt to climate change and prevent and resolve the disadvantages of climate change.

Impacts and risks.

Qin Ke walked to the window and looked at the students in the distance who were still walking carefree on the school road, and couldn't help but clenched his fists secretly.

His and Ning Qingyun's child will be born in more than four months. According to the content of the "prophecy" in the mysterious message from the distant universe, it is very likely that the world will usher in a catastrophe in twenty or thirty years.

"Second Sign": Humanity will face catastrophe.

By then, my two children should still be in college, right? If they haven't skipped a grade, they should be in graduate school...

No matter what, we cannot let them experience such a terrible future.

We must let them live a carefree college life like these young students.

Ning Qingyun had just returned from the teaching building. When she saw Qin Ke frowning and thinking about something, she couldn't help but asked worriedly: "What's wrong?"

Qin Ke was so lost in thought that he didn't notice Ning Qingyun's return. He turned his head when he heard the words, smiled again, and went to support Ning Qingyun: "Nothing, it's the El Niño phenomenon research team, that is, Dr. Kuang's team.

It has been reported that a serious El Niño phenomenon is likely to occur this year, and I am thinking about how to deal with it. Wife, how are you doing there?"

Wei Jing, who had been following Ning Qingyun, nodded towards Qin Ke, left the office, and joined Wei Feng who was standing at the door.

Ning Qingyun was very grateful for her husband's thoughtfulness. She sat back in her seat, took a sip of the warm water handed to her by Qin Ke, and said softly: "It's pretty good. I just answered some students' questions.

There are also some students who have received manuscript replies from journals, and some will be nervous and worried before they receive them, so I gave them some guidance."

This chapter is not finished yet, please click on the next page to continue reading the exciting content! The final exam that Qin Ke and Ning Qingyun set for their students last semester was to divide them into several groups by drawing lots, and work together to complete a topic.

You must complete a qualified first draft of the paper and be approved by Qin Ke and Ning Qingyun before the winter vacation to pass the exam.

In the end, the students all successfully passed the final exam, and some of the papers were quite high-level, such as "Having Hilfer Fractional Orders" co-authored by mathematics doctoral students Dirk Hill, Yu Jinglin, Ashley Keda, and Tang Xiaoyuan.

"Thoughts on Solutions to Boundary Value Problems of Pulse Differential Equations", "Research on the Decay of Time Derivatives of Large Solutions of Three-Dimensional Compressible Magnetohydrodynamics Equations" co-authored by physics master's students Hua Manting, Youssef Dehn, Ximen Hui and Jiang Yunjing

, can easily be published in core domestic journals, and the papers of the other groups are also at an above-average level. Overall, Qin Ke is very satisfied with the students' performance.

After a detailed chat with Ning Qingyun, it turned out that the first two papers to be drafted were the above two papers, which were planned to be published in "Xia Guo Theoretical Mathematics" and "Xia Guo Physics" respectively, both of which are among the top core academic journals in China.

.

As for other students' papers, they are still waiting for a reply. For most students, it is inevitable that they will feel a little anxious and expectant when they submit their work to a well-known core journal in China for the first time.

Especially Qin Ke and Ning Qingyun are not even named as corresponding authors. Whether this paper can be approved or not will really depend on the quality of the content - even if it has passed the preliminary review by Qin Ke and Qin Ke, students will still be worried.

What if the editor made a mistake?

Listening to Ning Qingyun mentioning the students' concerns, Qin Ke couldn't help but laugh and said: "We also had this kind of anxiety stage when we first submitted articles to top journals, and they will gradually get used to it. When our students publish papers in the future,

It won’t be a difficult goal to be included in a top international journal.”

Ning Qingyun was more concerned about Qin Ke's expression just now and asked: "Is the El Niño phenomenon really serious?"

"This year is not the most serious level, but the disasters caused should not be underestimated. Especially next year and the next year, I am afraid it will become more and more serious..." Qin Ke has never concealed Ning Qingyun, not to mention that Ning Qingyun will know about these situations sooner or later.

He explained it in detail and discussed countermeasures with Ning Qingyun.

The report that Kuang Songlin gave just now only contained a description of the situation and relatively simple countermeasures and suggestions. The latter was relatively vague. Qin Ke planned to refine it and pass it to Uncle Yang Chengke separately.

Ning Qingyun also invested a lot of energy in the study of meteorological disasters. In addition, girls are more meticulous and came up with a lot of ideas. The two of them worked all afternoon and finally completed the "Five Suggestions for Coping with the El Niño Phenomenon".

, mainly including improving the climate system comprehensive observation station network and climate change database construction, improving the ability to accurately predict climate change and extreme weather and climate events, improving meteorological disaster monitoring, forecasting and early warning capabilities and the whole society's meteorological disaster defense and response capabilities, building meteorological disaster risk assessment and

The decision-making information support system, which strives to strengthen the management of freshwater resources and saltwater desalination projects, has almost 5,000 words.

If it weren't for Shimmer's ability to recognize lip readings and automatically record them, it would have taken more than an hour just to type so many words.

At this time, Wei Feng knocked on the door and came in to remind the two of them to go back for dinner. Qin Ke realized that it was getting late and it seemed that there was no way to play basketball today, so he picked up the printed report with one hand and held Ning Qingyun's little hand with the other and went downstairs.

, get in Wei Feng’s car.

At the end of February, spring green appeared in the suburbs of Beijing. It would have been more comfortable to walk back to the villa, but at this time it started to drizzle, so Wei Feng prepared a vehicle to pick him up.

Seeing Qin Ke and Ning Qingyun rubbing their eyes after getting into the car, Wei Feng couldn't help but ask: "Academician Qin, Academician Ning, are you tired from work today?"

"It's okay." Qin Ke was not used to making people around him worry. He quickly showed his usual smile and reached out to massage Ning Qingyun's shoulders and lower back.

Expectant mothers are most likely to feel tired and sore in these two positions. What makes them happy is that the latest pregnancy test last week showed that both babies are very healthy and developing well. There is no

It is common for twins to develop slightly slower than singletons - of course, this will also add some burden to the expectant mother Ning Qingyun.

The two discussed the strategies again in the car, and after confirming that there was nothing more to add, Qin Ke asked Weiguang to send the file to Uncle Yang's mailbox via encrypted email.

Qin Ke first contacted Lu Xinping, Uncle Yang Chengke's secretary, and after confirming that Uncle Yang was not in a meeting or meeting anyone, he dialed Uncle Yang's phone: "Hello, Uncle Yang, I am Qin Ke. I have something to tell you.

Let me report..."

Qin Ke explained everything he knew about the situation: "This is the situation. I have asked the Fluid Mechanics Laboratory to submit a formal report through the process, and we have also sent specific countermeasures and suggestions to your encrypted email. This matter has been

Without further delay, please submit it to the upper management as soon as possible to see if it can be studied and implemented as soon as possible."

Unless Qin Ke is in a hurry, their suggestions are more of countermeasures. Implementation requires research and deployment by various departments, and the El Niño disaster is imminent. A more serious El Niño phenomenon will usher in from June.

If you are not prepared as much as possible, it will cause greater losses, especially crops will suffer serious reductions in production, and farmers' hard work throughout the year will be in vain.

Uncle Yang listened very seriously, nodded and said: "I will deal with it immediately." If these words were said by others, they might be alarmist, but when Qin Kening Qingyun said it, it would be completely different, no matter it was

Uncle Yang and the country now attach great importance to the advice of these two young scientists.

"Thank you, Uncle Yang."

"In addition, the 'Qinghai Lake Salt Water Desalination and Purification Plant' has been approved for a thousand acres of land in Qinghai Lake." Uncle Yang asked again: "Qin Ke, can you really solve the salt water desalination problem in Qinghai Lake? I heard that it can be done.

Salt production? You know that due to the sudden change in the international situation, sea salt may not be used in the future, so the lake salt from Qinghai Lake is particularly important. If salt water can be made into table salt during the purification process, the safety of table salt can be ensured."

Qinghai Lake itself has three salt lakes, with a total salt storage capacity of more than 60 billion tons, but it is currently mainly used to manufacture potash fertilizer, and the salt lake potash fertilizer is famous throughout the world.

The water in Qinghai Lake is rich in salt minerals. The total salt content is mainly composed of chloride, sulfate, carbonate, etc., of which chloride accounts for more than 80%. If salt can be produced while desalinating salt water, it will undoubtedly

Greatly improve the supply guarantee of lake salt.

"At present, a preliminary technical plan has basically been formed. There are still some technical difficulties that have not been overcome, making cost control unsatisfactory. The optimization of the plan will be completed probably in the first half of this year. This plan also contains sodium chloride and potassium chloride.

The cost of recycling inorganic salts such as magnesium chloride, that is, salt production, is almost zero, and the output is not low. The 'Qinghai Lake Salt Water Desalination and Purification Plant' built on this thousand acres of land can produce an annual output of

There are about 1 million tons of edible salt.”

Uncle Yang suddenly breathed a sigh of relief: "Great, now the preparatory work for the construction of the 'Qinghai Lake Salt Water Desalination and Purification Plant' is ready, and I look forward to your salt water desalination and purification plan coming out."

According to the agreement between Qin Ke and Uncle Yang, the "Qinghai Lake Salt Water Desalination and Purification Plant" will be jointly constructed by the state-designated state-owned assets department and Qing Ning Technology. All chores including daily operation and management will be handled by personnel from the state-owned assets department. Qing Ning Technology

The Yuanzhou Research Center only needs to provide patent authorization for technical solutions and provide technical support, and the profits will be divided 50-50.
Chapter completed!