This mathematical modeling and deduction analysis involved a huge amount of data, and we originally had to apply for supercomputing.

However, using a supercomputer requires going through the application process and queuing up, and the program must be rewritten to make it suitable for running in the supercomputer, which takes at least a week or so.

So Jiang Weixian naturally proposed to use the dozens of server resources in his laboratory building remotely.

Jiang Weixian's fluid mechanics laboratory building is a national-level key laboratory building. These dozens of servers were jointly developed by professors from the School of Computer Science at Qingmu University. It is said that a cloud computing platform was established that was very powerful at the time.

However, Qin Ke gave up after learning about its computing power data. It was indeed pretty good five years ago, but on a cloud computing platform that has begun to lag behind now, running for 48 hours may not yield results.

So Qin Ke simply let Shimmer take care of it.

Shimmer quickly started executing the program, and through remote connection, Qin Ke could see the computing process that was constantly jumping in the interface.

Atmospheric circulation, wind speed and direction changes, geographical coordinates, historical data of the Sahara Desert and Taklimakan Desert, temperature and humidity changes, air pressure changes, lighting conditions, cloud movements... countless variables and data are integrated into the biased model with the n-s equation as the core.

The system of differential equations, as well as various matrices and probability calculations are dazzling to see.

The amount of calculation is calculated in units of tens of millions.

If you stand in the monitoring room of Qingning Technology Data Center at this time, you can see through the monitoring platform that the CPU and GPU usage rates of all servers are close to 100%, the cooling fans are working at full capacity, and the precision air conditioners are also running at full speed.

…

Such a huge amount of calculations would take about ten minutes to execute with a supercomputer costing more than 2 billion. The low light of lv4 can give full play to the resource advantages of the more than a thousand server groups in Qingning Technology's data center.

It probably takes about half an hour.

But if you consider that the total cost of the Qingning Technology Data Center is less than 450 million, the price/performance ratio is obviously higher than that of the supercomputing center, not to mention the difference in power consumption between the two during operation.

This is naturally due to the upgrade of Shimmer to lv4, which has significantly improved the management efficiency of computing resources and the processing capabilities of parallel algorithms - if it were still the original lv3 Shimmer, it would have taken at least three hours to complete this operation.

Only then did everyone in the conference room realize that Qin Ke had such a powerful data center, and they were all surprised.

However, none of them knew about the existence of Shimmer. They thought it was the staff of Qing Ning Technology Data Center running this program in the background, so they ate their dinner slowly while discussing the possible results in low voices.

When dinner was almost finished, the deduction program run by Shimmer was about to reach its final result.

The most nervous person is not Qin Ke or anyone in the research team, but the webmaster Xia Yongguan who is waiting next to him.

He has worked at this weather station for nearly ten years and is well aware of the severe desert climate. He is really worried about the occurrence of horrific and destructive natural disasters such as "rain, steam, wind" or "fire rain".

Under everyone's nervous gaze, the hard work of the team's hard work for three days and nights slowly gathered on the remote interface——

"After mathematical model deduction, the third 'dry rain' phenomenon will occur in the d33 area around 10 a.m. tomorrow, with a probability of 95.55%, and then around 12 noon, there will be a 31.69% probability of evolving into a more severe event.

Severe 'steaming rain'. Once the phenomenon of 'steaming rain' occurs, a large-scale and extremely strong sandstorm will form within an hour and last for about five days."

"After the extremely strong sandstorm is formed, it will expand from the d33 area to the entire d area within ten hours, and will move south-east and west-west at a speed of about 20 kilometers to 25 kilometers per hour, and the affected area is d

The entire area of ​​area, area c, area b21 to b35 of area b, and area a27 to a32 of area a.”

"The average wind force in the center of an extremely severe sandstorm is expected to exceed level 12, and the danger level is red. All buildings in the above-mentioned areas are in danger of being buried by yellow sand. It is recommended that people in the above-mentioned areas evacuate as soon as possible."

The expressions of everyone present changed drastically, and Xia Yongguan even turned pale.

Because this weather station is in the d17 area, if a sandstorm really forms, this is where the wind will be strongest in its center!

The only good thing is that the coverage area of ​​the sandstorm does not extend beyond the Taklimakan Desert. Even the A27 to A32 areas are nearly 30 kilometers away from the nearest desert edge city of Arada City. Arada City will be affected to a certain extent, but not

What big loss will there be?

Another good thing is that this sandstorm moved southward, avoiding the most valuable desert oil development areas in the north.

】

The most serious losses may be the roads in the area swept by sandstorms. The sand-proof green plants on both sides may be uprooted and the roads may be buried by yellow sand. However, compared with the losses suffered by desert oil field development, this is a great blessing among misfortunes.

.

Just as Xia Yongguan was calculating these possible consequences in his mind, another new calculation result popped up.

"After the extremely strong sandstorm ends, it will cause severe climate chaos in the hinterland of the Taklimakan Desert, and there is an 11.72% chance of triggering a 'Fire Rain' disaster. The 'Fire Rain' spread range and direction of movement cannot be deduced due to insufficient current data. Please

Timely update the latest weather data and perform recalculation and deduction."

Xia Yongguan was dumbfounded, and everyone looked heavy.

The extremely strong sandstorm caused by "Rain and Steam Wind" is just that. Although there will be losses, judging from the scope of the influence, it is still within the acceptable range. But if "Fire Rain" appears again, it is no joke.

Can easily destroy a city!

Xia Yongguan swallowed, but his voice was still as hoarse as a dry leaf: "Professor Qin... would you like to contact Professor Wan Baoshan and Professor Mao Hong'en to see the research results of their team?"

This chapter is not over yet, please click on the next page to continue reading! It’s not that he doesn’t believe Qin Ke and others, it’s because the matter involves too many areas.

If the calculation results show that the extremely strong sandstorm caused by the "rain and steam wind" has a probability of more than 30% to occur around 13:00 noon tomorrow, in order to avoid losses, personnel and materials within the coverage area must be transferred as soon as possible, and more and more

The sooner the better.

But this matter not only involves his weather station, but also involves the closure of three major highways. He needs to contact the superior department to issue a notice and set up roadblocks to prevent all vehicles from passing. Vehicles currently on the road must also be evacuated as soon as possible.

This kind of social impact is huge, and there are many trucks traveling to and from the oil field every day. Whether the road should be closed, whether it should be closed completely or which section should be closed, and how long it should be closed, cannot be decided in one or two sentences. Just walk

The process and demonstration would take several days, and Xia Yongguan did not dare to report Jiang Weixian's team's deduction results, which had a probability of only about 30%.

But if the three research teams are willing to issue proofs at the same time, then Xia Yongguan will have the confidence to report to the National Meteorological Administration immediately.

Qin Ke frowned slightly. He had full confidence in the mathematical model he led the team to create. Although this was the most complex and largest mathematical deduction he had ever been exposed to, now that the results are out, he must prepare for the worst as soon as possible.

emergency response instead of looking for Wan Baoshan and Mao Hongen to argue.

Considering the responsibilities and pressure on Xia Yongguan's shoulders, Qin Ke and Academician Jiang Weixian exchanged glances and nodded: "Okay, we will arrange a three-party video conference immediately."

Xia Yongguan quickly asked Wu Youwen to contact Wanbaoshan and Mao Hongen's team. Qin Ke did not waste time and immediately discussed countermeasures with the team members.

This team has been studying extreme weather phenomena for a long time and is no stranger to dealing with typhoons and even tsunamis. However, it does not have much experience in how to deal with such a large-scale sandstorm. It can only follow the conventional methods in history and notify the relevant authorities as soon as possible.

The department arranged for personnel to be evacuated.

The video conference took a long time to connect after more than ten minutes, which made Qin Ke feel a little unhappy. There are less than 18 hours left before noon tomorrow, and time is running against time!

"Academician Jiang, Professor Qin, hello, we haven't had the chance to hold another exchange meeting in the past few days. Now that we are so anxious to find it, have we achieved any major results?"

Wan Baoshan spoke politely but slowly, pausing for two seconds for each sentence. It was obvious that Qin Ke suddenly contacted the two research teams, which caught Wan Baoshan a little off guard. At this time, he was observing Jiang Weixian while talking. Qin Ke also

Ning Qingyun next to her looked like she wanted to get some clues.

Qin Ke didn't bother to pay attention to what these little characters were thinking. He went straight to the point and explained the results of his team's deduction, and then asked: "I don't know what research results Professor Wan and Professor Mao have produced in the past few days. Do they support our side?"

conclusion?"

Wan Baoshan and Mao Hongen looked at each other. They never expected that in just three days, Jiang Weixian's research team would actually complete the data analysis, come up with some mathematical model and complete the deduction of future weather!

Mao Hongen hesitated and said: "Of course we don't doubt the mathematical level and strength of Professor Qin and Professor Ning, but I have analyzed it through the 'nwp (Numerical Weather Prediction System)' weather prediction model, and there is no hint that it will happen in the near future."

Extreme weather with rain, steam and wind.”

Wanbaoshan echoed: "I have also used the 'mpas' (cross-scale prediction model) for recent weather forecasts, and it only shows red high temperature warning reminders."

Weather prediction model is not an unfamiliar term. Currently, the mainstream in the world is to create models based on graph neural network (gnn) and multi-dimensional time series (rnn) to carry out weather forecasting, "numerical weather prediction system" and "cross-scale prediction model"

They are all GNN and RNN weather prediction models that are widely used in the industry. After 20 to 30 years of testing and optimization, AI autonomous learning has also been added, and now they can predict the weather within ten days more accurately.

The Wanbaoshan team and the Mao Hongen team are both extremely professional meteorological teams, but they do not have the ability to build their own weather forecasting systems. They use these two world-famous weather forecasting models respectively, and have long-term optimization to make them more in line with local reality.

.

This time was no exception. Since the last time they were scared by Qin Ke, the two of them had been particularly cautious and did not dare to be lazy anymore. By entering the main meteorological data of the Taklimakan Desert in the past two years, they automatically calibrated and optimized the model.

The weather prediction models that the two teams are used to now have no clues. However, Qin Ke said that through the mathematical model written by himself, he deduced that there will be about 30% probability of "rain, steam, wind" and large-scale hurricanes.

The extremely severe sandstorm, even the specific time and place were deduced?

How can this be?

You know, Qin Ke only spent three days at most on research! It’s so amazing, then all the weather forecasting teams in the world might as well stop doing it and go home and plant sweet potatoes!

However, both Wan Baoshan and Mao Hongen had been attacked by Qin Ke, and they were always wary of this young genius mathematician. They had left some room for speech just now. They only stated their own research results, and did not dare to insist on Qin Ke's mathematical model deduction.

The result is wrong.

Qin Ke shook his head and said: "I'm not familiar with the two weather prediction models you mentioned, but my model is based on meteorological big data analysis of the Taklimakan Desert and Sahara Desert and the n-s equation of fluid mechanics, and it is mainly for prediction."

"Dry rain, rain, steaming wind, and fire rain are three types of extreme meteorological disasters. It may not be effective elsewhere, but here, the accuracy is guaranteed! I have confidence in it!"

Wan Baoshan coughed lightly and looked at Academician Jiang Weixian: "Academician Jiang, you are the team leader. Can you tell me your opinion?" The implication is that Qin Ke is going crazy, and you have to take care of it.

This chapter is not over yet, please click on the next page to continue reading! Although Jiang Weixian did not personally participate in the subsequent research, he followed the whole process, and he has confidence in Qin Ke and Ning Qingyun. If not, the two children's

His attitude would not be so tough and resolute. So he said without hesitation: "The current team leaders are Qin Ke and Ning Qingyun, and I am willing to be responsible for their conclusions."

Wan Baoshan and Mao Hongen exchanged glances again, both seeing the surprise in each other's eyes.

An old academician like Jiang Weixian is actually willing to give up his qualifications as a team leader and is willing to guarantee the research results of his disciples?

Both of them were hesitant and wanted to nod, but they thought that once they agreed with the conclusion of Qin Ke's team, then if a severe sandstorm really occurred, Qin Ke's team would get almost all the credit. If there was no sandstorm, they would be blamed.

But they are asked to share the share...

Seeing that the two professors opposite him were reluctant to answer directly, Qin Ke lost his patience. He took the "Research Report and Proposal" that Ning Qingyun had just printed out and hurriedly signed his name on the last part of the document.

, and at the same time said to Xia Yongguan next to him:

"Director Xia, as the leader of the outgoing research team of the 'Qingmu University Fluid Mechanics Laboratory', I am now making a formal written suggestion to you. Please quickly report our team's research conclusions to the superior department and carry out the research as quickly as possible.

Evacuation response work to prevent extreme meteorological disasters.”

After he finished signing, Ning Qingyun took the pen and signed his own name again and again, and said seriously: "Stationmaster Xia, every second you waste now will reduce the number of people prepared to deal with extremely severe sandstorms."

Time. Although the probability is only about 30%, once it occurs, the consequences of disaster are 100%. Dozens of people in this weather station, as well as truck drivers and passengers passing on the highway, may be in danger of life.

"

Jiang Weixian also signed his name. The rest of the team remained silent, but they all took the pen and signed one by one.

Everyone said nothing, but stood behind Qin Ke and Ning Qingyun, looking at Xia Yongguan like this.

Xia Yongguan's forehead was covered in cold sweat. There was a 30% chance of extreme weather...

But Ning Qingyun is right, once it happens, it will be a 100% huge disaster!
Chapter completed!