Chapter 396 The Southern War (3)
"It seems that Lao Yuan's situation is not very good! Only in Xiushui County, who withstood Pu Wei's attack, Yichun and Yongxing were completely defeated!"
"Yes, it seems that except for Duan Qirui, no one else can do it!"
"Yes, because he is Feng Guozhang, who guards Yichun, this family is known as the three masters of Beiyang Dragon and Tiger Dogs. Why is it so useless? It's simply a thousand miles away. Yichun and Yidu are lost. If it doesn't happen well, it will make Pu Wei's middle army go straight to the side of Nanchang."
"Yes, if Wang Shizhen was asked to guard Yichun, he would never let Pu Wei's army break through Yichun."
"I think it may not be possible for Yuan Jun in the other two ways. It should be that Old Yuan deliberately gave up and deliberately showed weakness."
"This makes sense. I have met Feng Guozhang twice and talked to him about some matters. I think this person is still a bit capable. Moreover, Old Yuan is a bit of a trick to see people using people. If Feng Guozhang is really nothing, he would not be called the Three Masters of Beiyang. Of course, sometimes, it is easy to get out of the drama when he sees Feng Guozhang."
"Are you afraid that he will suddenly say, 'Dear friends, I really miss you to death'."
"Ha ha ha ha!"
Seeing that the discussion was about to be broken, *** knocked on the table and said, "Stop, stop, we are now discussing the war in the south! Don't go to other places."
The war between Yuan Shikai and Pu Wei had a great impact on the situation in the south, which naturally attracted attention from all parties. The East China Government also paid attention to this war. Not only should we grasp the changes in the situation in the south at all times, but we should also evaluate the combat effectiveness of Pu Wei and Yuan Shikai's army through this war, so there is a clear reference value for the East China Government to attack the south in the future. Therefore, the Executive Yuan has to take time every day to understand the progress of the war.
Of course, the main work in this regard is the responsibility of the Military Commission. On the one hand, the Military Commission ordered the Southwest Military Region stationed in Hubei Province to increase the level of alert and strengthen inspection and guarding work in border areas to prevent the fire from spreading into the East China Government. At the same time, a large number of detectives were sent to infiltrate various war zones to collect intelligence so that the East China Government can keep abreast of the progress of the war.
On the other hand, the division and deduction work of the war was also carried out carefully and meticulously under the organization of the Military Commission. Before the war began, the Military Commission established a special Southern War Observation Group, and first conducted two military chess exercises on this battle to simulate the different directions of the decisive war. After the war began, the Military Commission not only had to pay close attention to the progress of the war, but also organized staff from time to time based on the collected intelligence, analyze, summarize the war process, and predict the direction of the war development.
At this time, the first phase of the Southern War had ended, and the Military Commission was headed by the Chief of Staff *** and organized relevant personnel to review, summarize, and preview the next phase of the war.
Although Duan Qirui successfully defended Xiushui County in the first phase of the war, becoming the only highlight of Yuan's army, the observation team believed that Duan Qirui's performance could only be considered as just a matter of moderation. In addition to the sufficient preparation in the early stage, it was also good to regain the lost position during the day by a night raid, and there were not many other highlights. It was mainly based on the contrast of his peers. Because the performance of the attacking side was really poor, it can be said that the command of the officers, the quality of soldiers, tactical cooperation, and combat experience were basically nothing, and the advantageous forces of the attack were sacked. If any division and brigade-level commander of the J People's Army was to command the Deyou Army to fight, it would not be like this. Even if the Xiushui Equipment could not be broken, it could at least capture most of the peripheral positions.
The observation team believed that the defeat of the Yuan army on the other two lines was not due to the combat effectiveness of the Yuan army on the other two lines, but that Yuan Shikai intended to disperse the forces of the Deyou army and then defeat them one by one.
Of course, this is not a random guess by the staff, but a result obtained by carefully analyzing the situation on the battlefield and the collected intelligence.
First of all, the distance between the three fronts is about 120 kilometers from Xiushui County to Yichun County, while the distance between Yichun County and Yongxing County is 230 kilometers. The middle road of the Deyou Army captured Yichun. After Yi, the distance between Xiushui County was widened to 200 kilometers, and the distance between the army that captured Yongxing Xiangnan was basically unchanged. However, in this way, the distance between the northern and middle roads of the Deyou Army increased, which also gave Yuan Shikai room to defeat one by one.
In addition, the Yuan army did not actually do their best in the battle between Yichun County and Yongxing County. Because in Yichun County, the Yuan army almost retreated without fighting and did not resist at all. In Yongxing County, although the fighting seemed very lively and the two sides fought fiercely, the Yuan army basically gave up the breakthrough of the Deyou army. Some positions were repeatedly fought for. In fact, the Yuan army first gave up the position, then took it back, and then gave it to Deyou army. Therefore, in these two routes, the Yuan army obviously let go. It also confirmed the previous analysis that the Yuan army's plan was to defend Xiushui County, and the other two routes gave up strategically, widen the distance between the Deyou army, and then defeated one by one. Yuan Shikai personally led the army to Nanchang Prefecture, which also stated that the Yuan army had begun the second phase of combat plan.
What the inspection team has not yet confirmed is that Yuan Jun will first choose to defeat the Deyou Army's Northern Route Army, which is still attacking Xiushui County, or have already captured the Central Route Army of Fenyi County.
Xiushui County is about 120 kilometers away from Nanchang, and although Fenyi County is a little further away, the next target of the Central Army's attack is Qingshui County, less than 100 kilometers away from Nanchang. Of course, at this time, the Deyou Army's central army had already gone to the southwest of Nanchang. Since the Deyou Army's southern army is far away from Nanchang, it can be ignored for the time being. It is not too late to wait until the Yuan army defeats the Deyou Army's northern army or central army, and finally deal with the Southern Army.
Of course, the observation team has not yet made a clear conclusion on the Deyou army that Yuan's army will attack first, because both choices have advantages and disadvantages. First, attack the Northern Army, you can immediately attack Hunan Province and approach Changsha. However, the other two armies of the Deyou army are too far apart and do not have time to return to aid in a short period of time, and there are not many defenders in Changsha. Therefore, Yuan Li has a high chance of taking Changsha before the other two Deyou army returns to aid, and after taking Changsha, he is expected to occupy the whole thing.
In Hunan Province, Yuan Shikai can also greatly increase his territory and strength; of course, if he cannot conquer Changsha in a short time and wait until the other two Ludeyou troops return to help, it will be very dangerous. In addition, if the two Ludeyou troops do not return to Changsha, but join forces to attack Nanchang, the situation will be even more complicated. After all, the two Ludeyou troops in the middle and southern regions of the Deyou Army have merged, with a total strength of more than 50,000, and their strength cannot be underestimated. If the Yuan army is not properly damaged, there will be a danger of annihilation of the entire army.
Of course, it is much safer to attack the middle army of Deyou Army first. After first relieving the danger of Nanchang, the Yuan army can be invincible. Because the Deyou Army only has the South Army, and it will basically not pose any threat to Nanchang. However, after the middle army of Deyou Army was defeated by the Yuan army, the Northern Army is very likely to withdraw to Hunan Province immediately and defend Changsha. In this way, the difficulty of the Yuan army to capture Changsha will increase a lot. If Changsha cannot be captured, it will be impossible to occupy Hunan Province. At most, it can only occupy a few irrelevant prefectures, and Yuan Shikai's gains are limited.
In comparison with such interests, the observation team is really difficult to judge how Yuan Shikai would choose. They can only wait for the development and changes of the situation to further judge Yuan Shikai's choice.
However, the development of the situation did not make the East China Government wait for a long time. Just two days later, the East China Government received the latest changes on the battlefield. The Deyou Army captured Qingjiang County, and the troops headed directly to Fengcheng County, which was less than 60 kilometers away from Nanchang.
On another front, the Southern Army of Deyou Army also captured Ji'an Prefecture and turned north, obviously wanting to join the Central Army and work together to attack Nanchang. This also shows that the Deyou court saw hope of attacking Nanchang from the Central Army and completely changed the arrangement before the war.
At the same time, the Northern Route Army also reorganized its troops and launched an attack on Xiushui County. However, this time the Deyou Army did not launch a strong attack on Xiushui County. Obviously, this attack was just to restrain the defenders of Xiushui County and prevent Duan Qirui from returning to Nanchang.
At this time, the observation team of the East China Government no longer had any differences. They agreed that the Yuan army would first attack the middle and southern army, just to see if they wait for the middle and southern army of the Deyou army. However, the observation team believed that the Yuan army would launch an attack even more likely after the Deyou army merged. After all, although the Deyou army could reach 50,000 after the combined army, the Yuan army also had a coordinated force in the middle and southern routes. In addition, the two towns brought by Yuan Shikai had a total force of about 35,000, so the difference in force was not large. In addition, the Yuan army was waiting for work and was well prepared, and the chance of victory was still very high. It only depends on whether the Yuan army could quickly reorganize the army and then defeat the northern route of the Deyou army after the combined army of the Deyou army.
However, at this moment, the Intelligence Section of the Military Commission provided another important news. The Fengde court established by Pu Jun in Fujian was gathering troops and supplies, obviously with the intention of participating in the war. The observation team realized that Pu Jun, the oriole lurking behind the two mantis Pu Wei and Yuan Shikai. In this way, the situation of the Southern War will be more complicated.
Of course, some people from the observation group also asked whether to notify Yuan Shikai of this news so that he could be wary. But the final decision was not to notify Yuan Shikai. First, Yuan Shikai's thoughts were meticulous and it was impossible for him to be unprepared for Pu Jun. Second, the East China government should maintain the balance of power in the south and not allow one side to grow bigger, so try not to let Yuan Shikai win too much.
Chapter completed!