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Chapter 703 Summation (10)

Naotao Miyamoto nodded. In fact, this reason was just made up by him, because he could not tell Hirobu Ito that he knew that overseas Chinese had traveled from the future and brought powerful weapons far beyond this era. Therefore, Britain and France were simply impossible to defeat East China**. He had to use the result to reverse the reason and find such a reason that he actually felt that he could not fully believe in others.

Moreover, Naotao Miyamoto knew that someone would ask him this question in the future or ask him to explain in detail. Therefore, over the past period of time, Naotao Miyamoto has also supplemented and improved the reasons for his judgment that East China ** would win, and felt that such persuasiveness was almost enough. Fortunately, the current result has proved that his judgment is correct, of course, it is just how to say it and make sense.

Seeing Hirobu Ito ask, Naotao Miyamoto said: "Mr. Ito, I don't know much about military affairs. My judgment is mainly based on one principle: "Excluding all impossible factors, then the remaining result is true like this, no matter how absurd it is."

In fact, this sentence was a bad sentence before Miyamoto's time travel, and it often appeared in various detective and suspense novels. However, in this era, the famous detective novel [Shelmes] has just been published for 20 years and has not been finished yet, and its influence is far less than that of later generations. Therefore, this is the first time Ito Hirofumi heard it, and from the literal meaning, I think this sentence is of course very reasonable.

Naotao Miyamoto said again: "Mr. Ito, in your mind, what kind of people are the leaders of East China**?"

Hirofumi Ito was silent for a while before saying: "Although it is a hostile position, I still admit that the leaders of East China ** are indeed a group of very outstanding figures. Their insights into the world, their judgment on the international situation, their ability to govern the country, and their diplomatic skills in establishing the army are the best choices."

Naotao Miyamoto nodded and said, "Okay, then Mr. Ito, we can regard the leaders of East China** as a group of capable, minded, and rational people."

Hirobuki Ito nodded and said, "Yes."

Naotao Miyamoto said: "When the Puttsmouth negotiations, Britain and France had already conveyed to East China through various channels. However, the Puttsmouth negotiations failed, Britain and France would inevitably participate in the war. At this time, East China ** faced two choices. One was that the Puttsmouth negotiations were successful, but there was no compensation; the other was that the Puttsmouth negotiations broke down, Britain and France participated in the war, and East China ** fought with the coalition forces dominated by Britain and France. And East China ** obviously chose the second one. Of course, the leaders of East China ** would also think that Britain and France were deliberately bluffing, but I think that the leaders of East China ** would not make this stupid judgment."

Hirobu Ito nodded again and said, "Not bad!"

Naotao Miyamoto said: "The second option of East China ** has two more... Let's calculate three endings, one is the defeat of East China **; the second is the stalemate of war; the third is the victory of East China **. And the first ending, after East China ** is defeated, you can get nothing and lose more. This is obviously better than accepting the success of the Puttsmouth negotiations; the second ending, the war enters the stalemate of war, and the end is probably the two sides take a step back and hold negotiations, and East China ** is basically impossible to obtain compensation from new negotiations; therefore, only the third ending can explain the reason why East China ** chose to break the Puttsmouth negotiations."

Hirobu Ito thought carefully. The principle mentioned by Naotao Miyamoto was not complicated, but it was rare to be as organized as Miyamoto's analysis.

Miyamoto continued: "We have confirmed just now that the leaders of East China ** are a group of rational people with precise vision. Their decisions are carefully considered, planned and then acted. They will never get angry, act impulsively, or just make a fuss. They cannot be unclear about the strength of Britain and France, but they still chose to break the Putsmouth negotiations, which means they must have enough confidence in winning. This is to 'eliminate all impossible factors, and then the remaining result is true, no matter how absurd it is'."

Hirobu Ito smiled bitterly. Naotao Miyamoto's explanation seemed to make sense, but he always felt something was wrong, and he couldn't say that something was wrong for a while. In fact, Naotao Miyamoto was just complicating simple things and putting on a theory that seemed to be profound. This trick is often seen in modern society, but in this era, it is a brand new method. The result has proved that Naotao Miyamoto's judgment is correct, which is also the greatest persuasion. Therefore, Hirobu Ito's wisdom has also been circulated.

Of course, if Hirobu Ito carefully analyzed it, it would not be impossible to see Naotao Miyamoto's routine. However, now is not the time to study Naotao Miyamoto's explanation, so Hirobu Ito does not intend to confuse on this topic and said: "Miyomoto, I agree with the principle that you proposed 'Japan should decide on the national strategy that Japan should adopt based on its own interests'. However, if Japan negotiates with the East China ** at this time, although it is in line with Japan's national interests from the moment, it may greatly offend the UK. After this war, the East China ** will definitely rise strongly, and Japan's vitality will be severely damaged and will not be able to compete with the East China ** for at least 10 years. If the support of the UK is lost, Japan's recovery time will be slower, and it will not be able to face the competition of the East China **. This is a real problem. I don't know how you considered it."

Naotao Miyamoto nodded, and Hiromoto Ito was only the point of asking. To be honest, he was a little disappointed with Hiromoto Ito now. Before traveling through time, Japan was quite high for Hiromoto Ito, and even respected him as the greatest politician in Japanese history. This made Naota Miyamoto full of expectations for Hiromoto Ito, but through his contact with Hiromoto Ito in recent years, Hiromoto Ito may be an excellent politician, but it is still quite a gap from the evaluation of "greatest".

In contrast, Hirofumi Ito's understanding of the world trend and international pattern also has certain limitations, which of course belongs to the limitations of the times. Not only did Miyamoto Naotao not only had more than 100 years of international political struggle experience than Hirofumi Ito, but before traveling through time, he was in an era of information explosion, and the resources he mastered were much richer than Hirofumi Ito; but on the other hand, Hirofumi Ito was reluctant to do things, looked forward and missed many opportunities to stop losses in Japan, which is unforgivable.

However, Naotao Miyamoto also admitted that at least in this era, Hiromori Ito is indeed the best politician in Japan, and that his ideals in this era cannot be separated from Hiromori Ito. Unfortunately, Hiromori Ito did not trust him enough. He happened to take this opportunity to show him a few more hands to Hiromori Ito, so he said: "Mr. Ito, I have some objections to your opinion. I think that even if Japan leaves the UK this time and negotiates with East China alone, Britain will still support Japan after the war is over."

Hirobu Ito was also a little surprised and said, "Why?"

Naotao Miyamoto said: "Mr. Ito, you only see Japan's demand for Britain, but you ignore that Britain also has a demand for Japan, and this demand is by no means under Japan's demand for Britain. Think about it, after the war, the East China ** will definitely replace Russia and become the biggest threat to Britain in the Far East. Moreover, the East China *** is located further south, with a large number of ports and a strong navy, so the threat to Britain in Asia is much greater than that of Russia. There are also those facing the East China ** threat,

Not only Britain, France, and the United States are the same, but these countries are too far away from the Far East. Even if there are a large number of colonies, it is difficult to project their power to the Far East. Japan is their only choice to prevent East China and protect their interests in the Far East. So I said that even if Japan left Britain and negotiated with East China this time, after the war, Britain will still support Japan with full support and help Japan recover its country as soon as possible because they have no other choice."

Hirofumi Ito was stunned. Of course, he knew that Britain's support for Japan was not a good man. At the beginning of the war, it was necessary for Japan to help curb Russia, and now it was necessary for Japan to deal with the East China **, but he did not think otherwise. If Japan, Britain, France, and the United States' colonies in Asia would be threatened by the East China **. In this sense, Britain really could not lose Japan, so Japan could leave Britain and negotiate separately with the East China **, which could indeed be put aside. Moreover, Naotao Miyamoto's words also opened a window for Hirofumi Ito, and in the future, dealing with Britain, France, and the United States is a card that is beneficial to Japan.

Seeing Hirobu Ito still pondering, Naotao Miyamoto said: "Mr. Ito, we must make a decision as soon as possible, because there is not much time left for Japan. If my judgment is good, Britain and France should be seeking to get rid of Japan and negotiate with East China **.

Hirobuki Ito was shocked and said, "What?"

Naotao Miyamoto said: "It is nothing unexpected. Britain and France pursue a national strategy based on the interests of the country. Everything else can be given up. Now, the most beneficial thing for Britain and France is to negotiate with East China as soon as possible to end the war, and the sooner the better, because the party that negotiates with East China will inevitably be the party that compensates the most and loses the most. I think the tough attitude of Britain and France is just to increase bargaining chips for negotiations. The Netherlands has made a choice, so Japan must be ahead of Britain and France."

Hirobu Ito took a deep breath. The judgment had a huge impact on him, which made him unable to react for a while.

At this moment, the door opened and a waiting guard hurried in and said, "Mr. Ito, the cabinet's emergency meeting is required to attend immediately, and the carriage has been parked outside." He said that, and handed a sealed official folder to Ito Hirobuki.
Chapter completed!
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